All::Clinical Science::Statistics::Pre- and post- test odds and probability

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What is meant by Pre-test probability?

the probability of the presence of a condition in a population

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

What is meant by post-test probability?

The proportion of patients with that particular test result who have the target disorder

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

What is meant by\ Pre-test odds?

The odds that the patient has the target disorder before the test is carried out

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

What is meant by post-test odds?

The odds that the patient has the target disorder after the test is carried out

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

How is Post-test probability calculated? (from post test odds)

Post-test probability = post test odds / (1 + post-test odds)

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

How is Pre-test odds calculated? (from pre-test probability)

Pre-test odds = pre-test probability / (1 - pre-test probability)

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

How is Post-test odds calculated? (from likelihood ratio)

Post-test odds = pre-test odds x likelihood ratio

where the likelihood ratio for a positive test result = sensitivity / (1 - specificity)

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

How is likelihood ratio for a positive test result calculated?

sensitivity / (1 - specificity)

Pre- and post- test odds and probability

What is the difference between odds and probability?

  • Odds is a comparison between the chance an outcome happens vs the change it doesn't happen
  • Probability is a comparison between the chance an outcome happens vs all outcomes

Pre- and post- test odds and probability